Ben Bernanke: Friend or Foe?

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Ben Bernanke, the chairmen of the Fed (the “non-governmental” financial entity responsible for the United States’ monetary policy) has a hearing with the Senate tomorrow.  The hearing is officially a congratulatory event in the wake of his reappointment to a 2nd 4-year term as chairmen.  But unofficially, it will be used  to blast him and the Fed’s decisions during Bernanke’s 1st term (which included the final stages of the housing bubble and the financial crisis of 2008).

None of this makes sense to me.  The man is re-appointed for (presumably) a job well done while simultaneously taking heat for a poor job done.  Which is it?  Is Big Ben our friend or foe?

In my opinion, Ben Bernanke’s decisions during the 2008 financial crisis and the challenges thereafter should be applauded.  And guess who agrees with me?  Warren Buffett (watch this video).   Ben spent decades prior to 2008 unknowingly preparing for the tough decisions he had to make last year.  He is a “scholar” on the Great Depression, and while studying at Stanford he wrote a transformational thesis that identified the unexplained reasons for the Depression.  He essentially said this: banks are disproportionately important to the health of a society’s economy.  When banks are overly concerned about lending money, businesses suffer and thus the economy suffers.  When the economy suffers, banks lend out less money and businesses suffer more, and the downward spiral continues.

When faced with the unprecedented problems of 2008, Ben seemed to use this road-map-of-sorts thesis when figuring how to deal with the crisis.  #1) he saved banks to instill confidence in the financial markets; #2) he took over Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac to infuse liquidity into the mortgage lending market; and #3) he created and borrowed boat loads of money (trillions!) out of thin air to do #1 and #2).  He and the Fed saved the entities worth saving in order to save the greater good.  Yes, big banks were bailed out and  individuals were dismissed, but it was for the greater good.

I hope that in the coming months the direction of our country’s monetary policy remains in the hands of financial geniuses like Ben Bernanke who have spent their careers steering our country’s finances.  Let’s all hope we don’t turn the monetary keys over to ill-equipped Congressmen and women who have plenty of other policies (Social Security, Health Care, etc.) to tackle.

Agree?  Disagree?  I’d love some discussion.

Look Around, Within & Out to Instill a Thankful Attitude

Thanksgiving is next week, and I have a lot to be thankful for as Mary & I brought our 2nd daughter into this world last month. Avery Rowan is a healthy, beautiful reminder to be grateful for life’s gifts. I just stare into that cute little face and am thankful for the miracle of life.

sweet little Avery

Most of us will gather around the Thanksgiving table next week and share with one another what we are most thankful for. This is a great annual family tradition, but sometimes our busy lives make it easy to forget to live in daily gratitude. When I do not have a sweet, snugly newborn around, I use a concept I learned from a business coach (thanks Brian Sharp!) to help me reinforce a thankful heart. I wanted to share it with you near Thanksgiving in hopes that you may find it helpful as well.

I call it my GAP meditation. Daily, I try to write down three things in my journal. 1) I write what I’m most grateful for; 2) I write an affirmation about myself or a goal that I have; 3) I write a prayer about or for someone. Grateful. Affirmation. Prayer…GAP.

This quick exercise forces me to LOOK AROUND at the abundant goodness in life, to LOOK WITHIN at what I value and aspire to become, and to LOOK OUT for others. And by writing it down I find that it lingers in my heart and actions through out the day. It has been a wonderful way for me to stay focused on what and who I am thankful for.

Having a thankful heart is the best medicine for a healthy attitude, so be thankful every day of the year.

Have a thankful Thanksgiving!

Home Buyer Tax Credit Extension Nearly a Done Deal

The popular $8000 federal tax credit for 1st-time home buyers is set to expire on November 30th.  Recent insight from the floor in the Senate, however, indicates that legislators are very close to approving extending the credit through June 2010 and expanding it to move-up buyers.  Check this article out for the full scoop.

Expect Mortgage Rates to Rise

If you’ve had refinancing on the brain, you may want to put that thought into action soon. The Fed recently announced the subsidies that have artificially pushed mortgage rates to record low levels through most of 2009 will end in the first quarter of 2010.   Read this article to get a summary of how and why the government has kept rates incredibly low, and why their slow pull out of the mortgage market will force rates up.  According to its author, “It is a given that once the Fed ceases its purchases (of mortgage-backed-securities), interest rates will climb significantly higher … most likely back above the 6 percent area.”

If you are an eligible homeowner who would benefit from a refinance, I encourage you to act now before rates go up.  Contact me and I’d be happy to determine what options you may have.

Mortgage Rate Rally!!!

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I watched the movie Wall Street last week (1980s classic with Michael Douglas and Charlie Sheen), and I had to laugh at the scenes of the stock market trading floor where traders are buying and selling stocks in a frenzy during a stock market rally.  I chuckled, thinking things don’t work like that anymore with increased technology and market efficiencies in today’s stock market.  The days of frenzied brokers are a thing of the past, I thought!

Ironically, I found myself today inside the frenzied pit of a mortgage market rally as mortgage interest rates have plummeted below 5% for conforming 30 year fixed loans, below 4.5% for 15 year fixed loans, and 4.25% for 10 year fixed loans!  I’ve tried to be on the phone with as many clients as possible because, as with any market rally, you never know when it will stop and you don’t want your clients to miss the boat.  I was just like those crazed traders on the trading floor trying to get great deals for my clients before the deals are gone!

As the day winds down, rates have continued to remain incredibly low for qualified home owners and buyers.  Tomorrow has the potential to be an even better day with a very important unemployment report scheduled to be released.  If our country’s monthly unemployment report shows higher than expected unemployment numbers, mortgage rates may fall even more!!!  If you want to talk about your refinance options, please give me a call as soon as possible to discuss your options.  Or, please let your friends and family know that you heard from your awesome mortgage and real estate consultant for life that mortgage rates are low and they too should consider refinancing or buying.  Regardless, I appreciate you reading my memos.  Now, I’ve got to slip my colored jacket back on, dive into the pit, and get back to locking more low rates!

Waiting for the market to bottom out? You may be too late!

I’ve repeatedly been asked when I thought the Sacramento housing market would bottom out.  My answer was always the same: “The only way to see the bottom is to be past it.”

The latest home sale statistics show that the bottom of Sacramento’s housing market may be behind us.  The median home price in Sacramento County in August was $190,000.  Compared to February 2009’s reading at $167,000, that represents a 13.8% increase in Sac-town’s median home price.  The graph below shows how a trough in the median home price has developed over the last nine months.

The last 9 months show a trough starting to form on Sac-town's median home price
The last 9 months shows a trough developing

Market timing is more luck than skill.  For those waiting to time the bottom, you may be a few months late.  But, that doesn’t mean you’ve missed your chance at buying a home at an incredible value.  There are still 2,993 properties for sale in Sacramento for less than $190,000.  Opportunities still abound for those decisive enough to follow the facts

Study finds walkable neighborhoods command higher prices

A report done by CEOs for Cities concluded that walkable communities command higher prices for their homes.  Hopefully this and other studies will steer city planning across our country towards more mixed use, higher density development as opposed to segregatedly zoned suburban sprawl.

Curious about how your neighborhood ranks in walkability?  Go to www.walkscore.com. Very cool tool!

A Letter from Spencer

Hi There,

Matt has given me the honor of guest writing this month’s Matt’s Memos.  If you have been reading his Memos you probably know my name.  Matt has been sending his letters to all of my clients as well as his while I spent the last year battling cancer.  I had multiple myeloma, a type of blood cancer.  It was the fight of a lifetime and I almost lost.  However, I had a bone marrow transplant at Stanford last September and I am now cancer free.  The recovery from a bone marrow transplant has been rough but I am mostly back at work now. 

It was the experience of a lifetime.  My family and I had amazing support from our community.  That includes family, friends, neighbors, co-workers and my clients.  The support we received came in the form of many person-hours doing everything from preparing meals, babysitting, driving back and forth to Stanford, dental work, construction work, housecleaning, nursing, doctoring, financial planning, and most of all, prayer and good wishes.  My gratitude for this support is something that I have trouble expressing in a meaningful way.  The fact is that I can never repay all of the good karma sent my way, but I want to acknowledge it here.  Thank you!!  

Probably the biggest support I received was from Matt.  He worked double time to take care of my job duties and my clients while I was gone.  He also asked nothing in return for this.  Anyone that knows Matt knows he is a good guy, I am here to say that he is the kind of guy that would make huge sacrifices to take care of a friend.

It is said that every dark cloud has a silver lining.  For me, the silver is in discovering just how powerful a community of people from many different walks of life can rally to a cause and make a big difference.  That is a lesson that I will carry with me for the rest of my life.  It gives me hope that through all of the craziness of today’s world, that the goodness in all of us will prevail over the challenges. 

Philosophizing aside, I am now back at work and ready to face the next stage of my life; living life as a cancer survivor.  My experience has made me appreciate everything I have even more. Furthermore, I’ve made a commitment to Matt to help him take care of his clients whenever he has the need.  As a result you may be speaking with me from time to time if you are doing business with Matt. 

Another commitment that I have made is to live my life fairly openly so that others may learn from my experiences.  I have received a lot of positive feedback for my blog and how it has helped others understand what it is I went through.  I started it back before I got sick.  The entries follow the arc of my process and are often raw, sometimes profane and personal and they rarely have anything to do with business.  It is there for you to read or not.  I still put in new updates on a regular basis.  The address is http://www.puddinrider.blogspot.com.  Also, I am an avid Facebook user.  If you are too, please send me a friend request.   Of course if you want to chat, give me a call.

Best Wishes,
Friend of your Mortgage & Real Estate Consultant for Life
Spencer Rubin

Rates are Down, but Don’t Hold Your Breath

I read this interesting article today in the Wall Street Journal.  I have lenders offering rates just below 5% for the 1st time in a few months, but they may not last.  Read the article to understand why.

Opt In to Opt Out

I attended an insightful seminar today on credit reporting procedures, and it reminded me about a valuable credit protection step everyone should take.  I commented on it as a guest blogger on another web site in April 2008.  It’s message is as important now as it was 16 months ago.  Be sure to read the blog and my comments, and follow through with www.optoutprescreen.com